Deluges and Climate Change (AAAS)
Climate Change and Deluges
Have you noticed the Midwest has had more extreme rain
events in recent years? Duluth, Saxon Harbor, the Porcupine Mountains, and the
Houghton Deluges are a few of the “rain events” that hit us. If you did notice
and wondered if these storms are enhanced by climate change here is your
confirmation from the scientists at The American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) Sci-line.
“A growing percentage of U.S. precipitation now comes in
the form of extreme events, with human-caused climate change directly
responsible for much of this increase. Heavy rain contributes to flooding that
is damaging buildings and roads, eroding soil, flushing pollutants into
waterways in many parts of the United States, as well as straining the nation’s
aging dam network.
Rising air temperatures, caused primarily by the build-up
of heat-trapping gases due to fossil fuel burning, are increasing evaporation
from soil, plants, lakes, and oceans. Warm air holds more moisture than cooler
air, creating a greater atmospheric reservoir of water vapor for release during
rain and snow storms. For every 1ºC (1.8ºF) increase in atmospheric
temperature, the air holds 6% to 7% more water vapor, causing downpour
intensity to increase.
Heavy rains are getting heavier. Looking at the top 1% of
rainfall events, as measured by the amount of rain that fell within a 24-hour
period, the amount of precipitation falling in these heavy events has increased
substantially across the United States since the 1950s — by 55% in the
Northeast, 42% in the Midwest, 27% in the Southeast, 29% in the Northern Great
Plains, 12% in the Southern Great Plains, 10% in the Southwest, and 9% in the
Northwest.
Heavy rains are also getting more frequent in many parts
of the United States, especially in the Northeast, and covering greater areas
of land. The prevalence of record-breaking rainfall events and the amount of
land they drenched was constant for most of the 20th century, but has doubled
since the 1970s.
Heavy rains are often lasting longer, too. Recent evidence
suggests that climate-change-related atmospheric conditions may be causing
storms to get “stuck” in place, causing them to linger longer over a given
geographic region and lead to flooding.
Climate-change-related increases in heavy rain intensity
and frequency, and the lingering persistence of these weather events over
affected areas, have exacerbated flooding across the United States, especially
in the Midwest, increasing the number of cities and expanses of land now at
high risk. In coastal areas, rainfall-related flooding is exacerbating the
documented doubling of high-tide-flooding caused by sea level rise over the
past 30 years.”
If you have questions contact me at climatelynx@earthlink.net
Warm regards, Cool planet, Vote Climate
Grey
The American Association of Science (AAAS)
was founded in 1848 and is the largest general science organization in the
world. It promotes science and, in the recent anti-science years, has focused
on defending scientists. Its world-renowned “Science” magazine is
published by the AAAS and distributed to its 120,000 members, of which, I am a
proud member.
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